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I think it varies greatly.

Gmail is by far the best email client I've used. I actually like tweetdeck online version...

But I still use a native chat client and IRC client. I still prefer an office application (LibreOffice) to Google Docs.

I personally think more and more web apps are going to push the boundaries and we'll see more things like Tweetdeck, but I also see a real native need..things like music players and video players etc. I prefer Google reader b/c I have the same experience on everything (including my iPhone and Nexus S).

If I had to wager, and ironically, I do (my job after all), I think there is going to be an uneasy balance struck where some people make hard stances and only write native apps or only support this platform just as they've always done IF there application is more than something that pushes data around. But if their app is very much something that pushes data around (like JSON or something) I see it going the route of Tweetdeck/Gmail.

I see this for a couple of reasons but mostly about 1. distribution model and 2. shoestring budgets. eople

Now, mobile is a bit of the same as desktop, but more or less lagging by a generation. I don't see anything non-native winning in mobile for quite some time (as it didn't in desktop for what, 20 years?). Mobile is quite young and needs time to grow up. That is part of the reason why I think we are going to see at best three dominant platforms: iOS, Android and something else (not convinced it is windows, meego or anything we've seen yet).

No easy answers here and people are going to be second guessed quite a bit no matter their decisions in this realm. Heck, we've seen it with Nokia today. People are calling for Nokia to adopt android instead of doing their own thing. Well, doing their own thing could be the best or the worst thing for them, but no matter what they choose, it will be open for questioning (no easy choices).



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