I do think, if more people knew the extent to which the US financial system is a house of cards, cryptocurrency would be even more popular. Not necessarily concerning fundamentals, as the US is still fundamentally strong. Primarily concerning the edges of the system and the institutions we interface with every day.
I know Robinhood, and other firms, are trying to downplay what happened yesterday (and is continuing to happen right now!). Its possible their version of the story is accurate. It feels more likely that its not the whole truth.
We were treading really close to a 2007-level market event yesterday, though not due to bad ratings, rather liquidity. It wasn't just robinhood that was impacted; robinhood and IB both said that they made the decision internally, but WeBull said they were instructed by their clearing house to cease trading, and even large firms like TDA started enforcing limits. It was very close to going systemic, and not because of bad fundamentals, not because of an economic downturn, all because an unprecedented number of Americans wanted to join in on the stock market they're entitled to join in on, but our financial institutions were not ready for it.
When you lay out the reality of our system; that money moves so slow that every single institution who wants to handle money, for nearly any purpose, needs a bank account billions upon billions of dollars large just to be able to move as fast as people expect the system to move, and if that bank account gets too low the problem near-instantly spreads to the next bank in line; the system is very fundamentally broken, and people need to demand change, because our financial system runs EVERYTHING.
Moreover; if WSB's theory on this is correct, and if these WSB stocks like GME/NOK/BB/etc don't reduce in value; we missed a meteor yesterday, but a second one is still coming. This isn't just about bankrupting a hedge fund. When the margin calls on these short positions start coming in over time, the price of these stocks continues to rise, and eventually, the current "diamond hands" (as WSB call them) will sell their shares. We're talking about billions of dollars here; that's a massive liquidity spike that our institutions are still not ready to handle. Granted, as always, its the IDIOTIC institutions who got us into this by taking out the INDEFENSIBLE short positions in the first place, but they're systemic; they know they can do whatever the hell they want and get away with it, because if they go down they take every American with them.
Except you misunderstand one important part in the system, and that is credit drives the wheel of growth. Cryptocurrencies, while transactions settle much faster, are designed around a "hard-money" ideology. You know what's worse than inflation? Deflation. Now, there are pushes for credit in the cryptocurrency world, but as of now, it doesn't seem widespread.
Of course credit systems have their own problems, like debt growing so large that it's impossible to pay back. But usually a nice reset does wonders.
Since credit systems and money is created by governments, they have the power to do such resets and have done so in the past many times in the last 5000+ years.
If the credit systems collapse into a cryptocurrency hard money world, there will be a new emergence of desperate people, slavery, and war.
Credit absolutely can, and actively does, exist in the crypto world. If I have 10 bitcoins, I can lend them to whoever I want. I have to rely on the legal system to get them back in the case of a bad actor, but there are other emerging coins which encode the idea of credit into the blockchain itself. I doubt they'll work very well; the legal system is still critical to ensuring credit functions, and that doesn't have to go away with crypto.
Credit systems are not created by the government. Sure, the government is the biggest player, but at the philosophical level, credit systems are created by anyone who has an asset but doesn't need it right now.
The bigger thing that crypto does actively do away with is actively managed monetary policy. The populace hates on the people in power (banks, funds, government) for their quest for wealth and power, but for all the wrong that happens, monetary policy has been the single biggest driver in providing creature comforts and a modern lifestyle for the average citizen of the planet.
There absolutely is a substrate of "holy shit nothing is actually anything" at the very core of our economy. We print money to pay off loans given to us by other countries bought with their printed money. Nothing actually is anything. But, computers aren't cool with that; there is very real, hard math in the deepest parts of cryptocurrencies. You can take one of two sides in this argument, and I'm not sure either is absolutely correct (partly because, I'm not even sure there is a definition for was "correct" means in this context): Either you believe that substrate should be hard math, and modern economics is a farce, or that you believe monetary policy is the only way to ascend an economy beyond trade and barter, that we need men in suits at the top pulling levers and twisting dials to keep this machine running another day.
Maybe its alright that nothing is actually anything, and it can stay that way forever, chasing infinite growth as we expand into the cosmos. Or, then, maybe someone hacks our computer and changes the value of the Blemfark from One of its itself to Zero of itself.
Here's what I do know; whether or not it would be better, people seem to increasingly desire less top-level control and less delegation of so much power to wall street firms. Crypto is going to continue to get more and more popular, even if its against the best interests of the people, because our government and wall street underestimated how much influence the 300 million people that aren't them actually have. That's the cost of democracy and a free society; it sometimes takes the wrong path.
Credit systems are absolutely created by the government if they involve the dollar (or other sovereign currency). There is not a bank in the modern world that lends money. Banks don't lend out existing assets.
I'm sure there are crypto systems that create this kind of credit, but "lending out your bitcoin to someone" is very different than how Banks create credit.
I know Robinhood, and other firms, are trying to downplay what happened yesterday (and is continuing to happen right now!). Its possible their version of the story is accurate. It feels more likely that its not the whole truth.
We were treading really close to a 2007-level market event yesterday, though not due to bad ratings, rather liquidity. It wasn't just robinhood that was impacted; robinhood and IB both said that they made the decision internally, but WeBull said they were instructed by their clearing house to cease trading, and even large firms like TDA started enforcing limits. It was very close to going systemic, and not because of bad fundamentals, not because of an economic downturn, all because an unprecedented number of Americans wanted to join in on the stock market they're entitled to join in on, but our financial institutions were not ready for it.
When you lay out the reality of our system; that money moves so slow that every single institution who wants to handle money, for nearly any purpose, needs a bank account billions upon billions of dollars large just to be able to move as fast as people expect the system to move, and if that bank account gets too low the problem near-instantly spreads to the next bank in line; the system is very fundamentally broken, and people need to demand change, because our financial system runs EVERYTHING.
Moreover; if WSB's theory on this is correct, and if these WSB stocks like GME/NOK/BB/etc don't reduce in value; we missed a meteor yesterday, but a second one is still coming. This isn't just about bankrupting a hedge fund. When the margin calls on these short positions start coming in over time, the price of these stocks continues to rise, and eventually, the current "diamond hands" (as WSB call them) will sell their shares. We're talking about billions of dollars here; that's a massive liquidity spike that our institutions are still not ready to handle. Granted, as always, its the IDIOTIC institutions who got us into this by taking out the INDEFENSIBLE short positions in the first place, but they're systemic; they know they can do whatever the hell they want and get away with it, because if they go down they take every American with them.