Ain't happening in 2026 or 2028. Democrats havent positioned anyone compelling and there positions are too flaky to capture a culture that is captivated by the idea every position is zero-sum.
Gavin Newsom has shown himself to be a savvy operator, I think he has a legitimate shot in 28 if there are free and fair elections. That caveat is pulling way too much weight here though.
While I'd support a Newsom run, I feel like he's never going to get strong support from the Progressive side of the party and they'll sink one of the few viable candidates.
2026 midterms really don’t look grim at all so long as they actually happen and restricting doesn’t destroy the gains that the democrats will inevitably pick up.
And I mean inevitably in the strongest way possible. This happens at basically every midterm with the opposition party picking up seats and republicans barely control Congress as it is.
The Democrats haven't run anyone but moderates since Bill Clinton, so I'm pretty sure that won't happen unless they do finally decide to run a progressive (which is still much less likely than running another moderate).
I live in the U.S. and would like to support our businesses, however the U.S. is neither the leader in semiconductor/electronics manufacturing nor in power production and availability, and without those, they will not end up being the world leader in AI- China will.
This is basically my take as well. Even if we sprint ahead at first, it's not going to be the magical superpower we think it will be, and their systemic advantage will win over the long horizon.
