That may be the case but every day LLM’s feel less like the next big thing and more like 3D printing. Here to stay, but not nearly as ubiquitous and earth shattering as people made it out to be.
If I had to guess right now, I would say LLM’s are more significant than 3D printers, but less significant than the Internet.
I've thought the 3D-printing analogy is pretty apt for about a year now. It had a lot of promise at first but it never quite has the impact people thought it would. There are still 3D printers for sale, and people still prototype with them, but nobody's printing out a dustpan when they need one.
I think you’re missing the thrust of my comment and the responses. Nobody is saying 3-D printers are worthless, but if you remember what it was like when they were first emerging into the mainstream, you would think we would all have one in our living rooms by now just spitting out everything we need constantly. We would all be building our own furniture and repairing every niche thing in our house with them. We’d all be on some magical network sharing files with each other. We’d have a massive surge in printed guns.
Everything was theorized and it all was a variation of “nothing will be the same for anyone ever again,” not “some specific areas will be really different.”
I'd say that's a pretty accurate analysis. Something that is easily generated by an LLM obviously has low value and there is no moat.
Agentic coding is a bit different, particularly if a great deal of effort and intelligence goes into it, but that's a quite different thing than just cranking out slop apps.
Yeah there is no doubt that some companies are going to radically change their operations because of agentic coding in particular. But the revolution that is being promised, and the investment that has gone along with it, is going to smash against some pretty nasty shoals of reality sooner rather than later
Some are going to radically change their operations, but we have yet to actually see if the ROI on that comes through for them. It will be an interesting thing to watch.
Fair point. My implication (though I completely failed to indicate it lol) is that for some companies it will be a huge, mostly positive change I imagine. But it won’t be the majority of the companies trying to make that happen right now that’s for sure. Unless we want to consider every company deploying a chat bot for user support I guess…though I wouldn’t exactly say that is the massive leap in technology AI is promising
That may be the case but every day LLM’s feel less like the next big thing and more like 3D printing. Here to stay, but not nearly as ubiquitous and earth shattering as people made it out to be.
If I had to guess right now, I would say LLM’s are more significant than 3D printers, but less significant than the Internet.